| "The many instances of your majesty's benevolent intentions, and most gracious disposition to promote the prosperity and happiness of your subjects in the colonies, encourages us to look up to the throne, and implore your majesty's paternal assistance in averting a calamity of a most alarming nature."
"The importation of slaves into the colonies from the coast of Africa, hath long been considered as a trade of great inhumanity, and under it's present encouragement, we have too much reason to fear will endanger the very existence of your majesty's American dominions." "We are sensible that some of your majesty's subjects of Great Britain may reap emoluments from this sort of traffic, but when we consider that it greatly retards the settlement of the colonies, with more useful inhabitants, and may, in time, have the most destructive influence, we presume to hope, that the interest of a few will be disregarded when placed in competition with the security and happiness of such numbers of your majesty's dutiful and loyal subjects." "Deeply impressed with these sentiments, we most humbly beseech your majesty to remove all those restraints on your majesty's governors of this colony, which inhibit their assenting to such laws as might check so very pernicious a commerce." Journals of the house of burgesses, page 131. |
| PRELIMINARY REMARKS. |
| 1. The number of slaves in Virginia by the late census being found to be 292,427, they may now, in round numbers be estimated at 300,000. |
| 2. Let it be supposed that the males and females are nearly or altogether equal in number. |
| 3. According to Dr. Franklin, the people of America double their numbers in about twenty-eight years; and according to Mr. Jefferson, the negroes increase as fast as the whites, they will, therefore, double, at least every thirty years. |
| 4. Let it be supposed that in thirty years one half of the the present race of negroes will be extinct. |
| 5. Let it be supposed that in forty-five years there will not remain more than one-fifth of the present race alive. |
| 6. Let it be likewise supposed, that in sixty years the whole of the present race will be extinct. |
| 7. For conciseness sake, let the present race be called ante-nati, those born after the adoption of the plan, post-nati. |
| FROM HENCE IT WILL FOLLOW, |
| 1. That the present number of slaves being 300,000. |
| 2. In thirty years their numbers will amount to 600,000. |
| 3. But at that period as one half of them will be extinct, (rem. 4.) their numbers will stand thus: Ante-nati 150,000; Post-nati 450,000; Total 600,000 |
| 4. The mean increase of the post-nati for the next thirty years will therefore be 450,000/30, annually, or 15,000. |
| 5. If one half of these be males, who are still to remain slaves, there will, in the first sixteen years, be born 120,000. |
| 6. After the first sixteen years, the post-natæ females will begin to breed; the proportion of males born to slavery in the next twelve years may be estimated at one-fourth of the whole number born after the commencement of that period .... Their number will be 52,500. |
| 7. The number of slaves living in Virginia at the end of thirty years from the adoption of the plan, will be, ante-nati (prop. 3.) 150,000; Post-nati males born in the first 16 years 120,000; Post-nati males born in the last 12 years 52,500; Total 322,500. |
| 8. The number of negroes at the same time will stand thus: Slaves 322,500; Post-nati free born 277,500; Total 600,000. |
| 9. After twenty-eight years from the first adoption, this plan of gradual emancipation will first begin to manifest its effects, by the complete emancipation of one twenty-eighth part of the post-nati free born during that period each succeeding year, for twenty-eight years more; their numbers will be, 277500/28 or 9,910. These will be all females. |
| 10. It being admitted that the negroes double every thirty years, the supposition that in forty-five years, their numbers will be half as many more as in thirty, will not be very erroneous, if so, the whole race of them at that period will be 900,000. |
| 11. Their numbers will stand thus: Ante-nati 60,000; Post-nati 840,000; Total 900,000. |
| 12. After twenty -eight years are past, the number of slaves born must continually diminish. Suppose their number born in the last seventeen years, to be one-fourth as many as those born in the preceding twelve years, they will be 52,500/4, or 13,125. |
| 13. The slaves in Virginia in forty-five years will then be, ante-nati 60,000; Post-nati males born in the first sixteen years 120,000; Ditto, born in the next twelve years 52,500; Ditto, born in the last seventeen years 13,125; Total 245,625. |
| At this period the emancipation of males will begin. |
| 14. But after twenty-eight years it has been shewn that 9,910 negroes will annually arrive at the age of emancipation, their whole number in forty-five years will be 168,470. |
| 15. The state of the negroes at the end of 45 years, will then be, slaves 245,625; Post-nati fully emancipated (females,) 168,470; Post-nati not emancipated 485,905; Total 900,000. |
| 16. In sixty years the whole number of negroes will be 1,200,000. |
| 17. At that period the whole of the present race will be extinct, and we also may infer that one half of those born in the first thirty years will be also extinct; the number of slaves born in that period has been shewn, (prop. 7.) to be 172,500, the number of these then living will be 277,500/2 or, 86,750. |
| 18. One half of the post-nati free born, during that period, being now fully emancipated, may be likewise presumed to be extinct; their numbers (prop. 8.) will be 172,500/2 or 138,750. |
| 19. The state of negroes at the end of sixty years, will therefore be: Slaves born during the first thirty years 86,250; Ditto born after that period 13,125; Post-nati fully emancipated 138,750; Post-nati under 28 years of age 961,875; Total 1,200,000. |
| 20. At the end of ninety years the number of negroes will be 2,400,000. |
| 21. Of this number, those only born after the first thirty years, being supposed to be living, the number of slaves (prop. 12,) will then be reduced to 13,125. |
| 22. And as the last mentioned number of slaves are supposed to be born within forty-five years, their whole number will be extinct in fifteen years more, that is, in one hundred and five years from the first adoption of the plan. |
| 23. By prop. 19, it appears, that out of 1,200,000 negroes, there will then be 961,875 under the age of twenty-eight years, the period of emancipation. |
| 24. We may, therefore, conclude, that from two-thirds to three-fourths of the whole number of blacks will always be liable to service. |